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Coffee Geography Magazine is a Coffee portal with highly informative, upbeat and inspirational articles for people who are in the coffee industry. We are committed to the success and growth of the global coffee industry.

CGM provides up to the minute data to the market makers.

Chief Editor  

editor@coffeegeography.com

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Coffee prices on Friday June 14th settled moderately lower, with robusta posting a 2-week low. Friday's rally in the dollar to a 6-week high and risk-off sentiment in asset markets from political uncertainty in France undercut coffee prices. On Wednesday, arabica fell to a 3-week low after Cecafe reported late Tuesday that Brazil's May green coffee exports surged 90% y/y to 4 million bags. Coffee prices are also being pressured by Brazil's faster coffee harvest, which has boosted coffee supplies. Consulting firm Safras & Mercado reported last Friday that Brazil's 2024/25 coffee harvest was 29% completed as of June 4, faster than 26% last year at the same time and faster than the 5-year average of 27%. Dry conditions in Brazil support coffee prices. Somar Meteorologia reported Monday that Brazil's Minas Gerais region received no rain in the past week. Minas Gerais accounts for about 30% of Brazil's arabica crop. Robusta coffee prices are underpinned by fears that excessive dryness in Vietnam will damage coffee crops and curb global production. On May 22, coffee trader Volcafe said Vietnam's 2024/25 robusta coffee crop may only be 24 million bags, the lowest in 13 years, as poor rainfall in Vietnam has caused "irreversible damage" to coffee blossoms. Volcafe also projects a global robusta deficit of 4.6 million bags in 2024/25, a smaller deficit than the 9-million-bag deficit seen in 2023/24 but the fourth consecutive year of robusta bean deficits. Tight robusta coffee supplies from Vietnam, the world's largest producer of robusta coffee beans, are a bullish factor. On March 26, Vietnam's agriculture department projected that Vietnam's coffee production in the 2023/24 crop year would drop by -20% to 1.472 MMT, the smallest crop in four years, due to drought. Also, the Vietnam Coffee Association said that Vietnam's 2023/24 coffee exports would drop -20% y/y to 1.336 MMT. Late Monday, Vietnam's Customs Department reported that Vietnam's May coffee exports fell -47% y/y to 79,358 MT, the lowest amount for the month of May since 2009. Also, Jan-May coffee exports fell -5.8% y/y to 817,154 MT. USDA FAS on May 31 projected that Vietnam's robusta coffee production in the new marketing year of 2024/25 will dip slightly to 27.9 million bags from 28 million bags in the 2023/24 season.

Arabica coffee is the world benchmark for coffee futures contracts that trade on the Inter Continental Exchange (ICE).

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The Brazilian Real/USD Vs the Coffee Price

Coffee prices on Friday June 14th settled moderately lower, with robusta posting a 2-week low. Friday's rally in the dollar to a 6-week high and risk-off sentiment in asset markets from political uncertainty in France undercut coffee prices. On Wednesday, arabica fell to a 3-week low after Cecafe reported late Tuesday that Brazil's May green coffee exports surged 90% y/y to 4 million bags. Coffee prices are also being pressured by Brazil's faster coffee harvest, which has boosted coffee supplies. Consulting firm Safras & Mercado reported last Friday that Brazil's 2024/25 coffee harvest was 29% completed as of June 4, faster than 26% last year at the same time and faster than the 5-year average of 27%. Dry conditions in Brazil support coffee prices. Somar Meteorologia reported Monday that Brazil's Minas Gerais region received no rain in the past week. Minas Gerais accounts for about 30% of Brazil's arabica crop. Robusta coffee prices are underpinned by fears that excessive dryness in Vietnam will damage coffee crops and curb global production. On May 22, coffee trader Volcafe said Vietnam's 2024/25 robusta coffee crop may only be 24 million bags, the lowest in 13 years, as poor rainfall in Vietnam has caused "irreversible damage" to coffee blossoms. Volcafe also projects a global robusta deficit of 4.6 million bags in 2024/25, a smaller deficit than the 9-million-bag deficit seen in 2023/24 but the fourth consecutive year of robusta bean deficits. Tight robusta coffee supplies from Vietnam, the world's largest producer of robusta coffee beans, are a bullish factor. On March 26, Vietnam's agriculture department projected that Vietnam's coffee production in the 2023/24 crop year would drop by -20% to 1.472 MMT, the smallest crop in four years, due to drought. Also, the Vietnam Coffee Association said that Vietnam's 2023/24 coffee exports would drop -20% y/y to 1.336 MMT. Late Monday, Vietnam's Customs Department reported that Vietnam's May coffee exports fell -47% y/y to 79,358 MT, the lowest amount for the month of May since 2009. Also, Jan-May coffee exports fell -5.8% y/y to 817,154 MT. USDA FAS on May 31 projected that Vietnam's robusta coffee production in the new marketing year of 2024/25 will dip slightly to 27.9 million bags from 28 million bags in the 2023/24 season. ..The Brazilian Real is one of the driving factors in the global coffee pricing.

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