Honduran Coffee Production Set to Surge, Exports to Follow Suit
May 2 - 2026
Coffee Geography Magazine
Honduras, Central America’s leading coffee exporter, is poised for a significant production rebound over the next two marketing years, driven by a combination of improved agricultural practices, favorable natural cycles, and plantation expansion, according to newly released industry forecasts.
According to the latest USDA report, the country’s coffee production is projected to reach 5.53 million 60-kilogram bags in marketing year (MY) 2025/26, climbing further to 6.03 million 60-kilogram bags in MY 2026/27. The marketing year for Honduran coffee typically runs from October to September.
Industry analysts attribute the anticipated growth to several key factors. Among them are enhanced plant nutrition programs that have bolstered tree health and yields, the positive phase of biennial production cycles (which alternate between higher and lower yields), and a steady expansion of land area dedicated to coffee cultivation. Additionally, more aggressive pruning and crop management techniques, alongside the maturation of newly established coffee plantations, are expected to contribute significantly to the upward trend.
The production boom is expected to translate directly into higher export volumes, reinforcing Honduras’ position as a key supplier to global markets, the United States, Europe, and Asia.
Coffee exports from Honduras are forecast to reach 5.03 million 60-kilogram bags in MY 2025/26, rising to 5.50 million bags the following year. While domestic consumption and carryover stocks will absorb a portion of the harvest, the vast majority of the surplus is destined for international buyers.
However, industry observers caution that the outlook remains vulnerable to external shocks, including volatile global coffee prices, climate variability, and logistical bottlenecks at ports. The 2025/26 and 2026/27 cycles will also depend on timely rainfall and the absence of major pest outbreaks, such as coffee leaf rust (la roya), which has historically plagued Central American crops.
Nonetheless, for a nation where coffee supports more than 100,000 smallholder families, the projected two-year growth trajectory offers a welcome boost to rural economies and export revenues. With careful management, Honduras appears well on track to solidify its reputation as a consistent and growing powerhouse in the specialty and commercial coffee sectors.